United States vs Australia

Fri Jun 19 · 2:00 PM CT
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 18d ago·2 min read
United States
Australia
20
FT
1H2HFT
USA
002
AUS
000

The United States picked up their second straight win in Group D, downing Australia 2-0 in Seattle on a Cameron Burgess own goal and an Alex Freeman header to book their place in the knockout round.

Bush’s PicksPicks madeJun 20, 10:46 AM CT
-160USAAUS+506
Best BetUnited States to win
Postgame

Our bull case landed — the USA were the class of Group D and handled Australia on home soil without looking troubled, winning 2-0 as our preview called.

The USA controlled this match from the first whistle. Folarin Balogun's aggressive press forced a Cameron Burgess own goal at 11 minutes, and Alex Freeman's headed finish just before halftime put the game to bed. Australia never seriously threatened, and the final 2-0 scoreline felt about right — comfortable, controlled, no drama.

Without Christian Pulisic — sidelined with a leg injury — Mauricio Pochettino went with Ricardo Pepi up top alongside Folarin Balogun and Alex Freeman. The high press worked almost immediately. Balogun chased down a ball in the 11th minute, his centering pass deflected off Cameron Burgess and into the net, and just like that the USA had the lead. It was exactly the kind of aggressive, relentless pressure Pochettino has built this team around.

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Total
United States(2-0-0)
2
Polymarket
-1.5
+182
Polymarket
-160
Polymarket
o2.5
+130
Australia(1-0-1)
0
Polymarket
+1.5
-182
Kalshi
+525
Polymarket
DraftKings
u2.5
-130
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Advance includes extra time & pens; spread + total settle on 90 minutes.

Freeman, 21 and the youngest player in the squad, then delivered the moment of the night. Sergiño Dest whipped in a cross in the 43rd minute and Freeman got above his man to head it home — his first World Cup goal, confirmed after a brief VAR check. Pochettino called his squad 'amazing' afterward and compared the Seattle atmosphere to Argentina. The USA handled their business cleanly, and that's all you can ask.

Australia set up in a compact 5-4-1, looking to absorb pressure and hit on the counter. It lasted about 11 minutes. Once Burgess put it in his own net, the Socceroos were chasing the match against a team happy to sit back and control tempo. They couldn't find the gaps, couldn't string sequences together, and Matt Freese barely had a save to make.

The Australian bench threw 3 changes into the second half before it even started — a sign of how little went right in the first 45. It didn't change much. The Socceroos finished with 4 yellow cards on the night, picking them up in frustration as the clock wound down. They're still alive and well-positioned to advance, but this was not a performance to build confidence on heading into their final group match.

We backed the USA on the moneyline and it wasn't close — the bull case landed exactly as written. The USA were the class of Group D, handled Australia on home soil, and never looked troubled after Balogun forced the own goal inside 11 minutes. Back-to-back wins in group play, job done.

The market now has the USA as near-certain Group D winners. Australia's odds of advancing to the Round of 32 sit at 89.5% — they should still get through — but their path to the Round of 16 is a different question at just 36.5%. They'll need a strong result in their final match. The USA, meanwhile, enter their last group game already knowing they're through and can rotate freely.

United States
(3-0-2)
Jul 6LvsBelgium1-4
Jul 1WvsBosnia and Herzegovina2-0
Jun 25LvsTürkiye2-3
Jun 19WvsAustralia2-0
Jun 12WvsParaguay4-1
Australia
(1-2-1)
Jul 3DvsEgypt1-1
Jun 25DvsParaguay0-0
Jun 19LvsUnited States0-2
Jun 14WvsTürkiye2-0
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World CupGroup DUnited StatesAustraliaPolymarketKalshiDraftKings