Kamara's Knee Turns Etienne Into a Week 1 Must-Start

By Bush Staff·4 min read
Kamara's Knee Turns Etienne Into a Week 1 Must-Start
via ESPN

The Saints enter their final camp week banged up, kicker-confused and penalty-prone, but the fantasy story is all about who inherits Alvin Kamara's touches.

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New Orleans has four separate headaches with roster cuts a week away, and somehow the quarterback isn't one of them. Tyler Shough is locked in as QB1 after going 5-4 in nine starts as a rookie, and the Saints have said all offseason they're building around him. The real mess is everywhere else: a running back room that's been picked apart by injuries, a kicker competition nobody's won, a backup quarterback battle nobody's won either, and a team that racked up 20 penalties across two preseason games while trying to fix a defense that finished 32nd in red zone touchdowns allowed last year.

The injury list is the part that actually moves fantasy boards. Alvin Kamara sprained his MCL in a joint practice with Dallas and is expected out at least a month, which puts his return in doubt for the first three weeks of the season, including a brutal road trip to Detroit and Baltimore. He's not alone. Devin Neal has reinjured his hamstring, Ty Chandler is done for the year with a knee injury, and rookie receiver Jordyn Tyson is looking at roughly two months out with his own hamstring issue. Add tight ends Moliki Matavao and Oscar Delp and corner Rezjohn Wright to the pile and this is one of the more banged-up rosters in the league heading into cuts.

That's exactly why New Orleans went out and signed Travis Etienne this offseason, and it's why his stock just spiked. With Kamara sidelined, Etienne slides into the clear early-down and passing-down role, and after posting over 1,100 rushing yards last season in Jacksonville, he's got the pedigree to handle a full workload. He's currently going off the board around pick 40 overall as an RB2, but that number should be climbing fast now that the timeshare he was drafted for isn't actually a timeshare, at least for the first month.

Behind Etienne, the picture is murkier than you'd like for a handcuff. Kendre Miller has flashed in joint practices against Dallas and the Rams and looks like the top backup right now, but he's coming off his own back injury. Neal was expected to be part of that mix too before the hamstring flared up again, and Zamir White just arrived via trade from San Francisco as extra insurance. None of those three is a must-roster add in shallower leagues, but in anything deeper than 10 teams, Miller is worth a speculative bench spot given how thin this room already is.

Kamara himself is now a wait-and-see fantasy asset. A sprained MCL without ligament tears is the good version of a bad injury, but a month away means a ramp-up period on top of that, and he'll be 31 by the time he's fully back to speed. Drafters should treat him like a late-round lottery ticket rather than a locked-in RB2 -- if he's healthy by October and Etienne has worn down the Detroit-Baltimore gauntlet, there's a real path back to a two-man committee that benefits both. Until then, Etienne is the priority add and Kamara can slide down draft boards without much argument.

The kicker battle matters more for season-long streaming than for draft day, but it's worth knowing New Orleans just brought in two-time All-Pro Daniel Carlson to compete with incumbents Charlie Smyth and Tanner Brown, who've reportedly struggled with consistency all camp. Coach Kellen Moore says the job stays open through Friday's preseason finale, and the mere fact that the team went out and got a proven veteran tells you which way this is leaning. Carlson's a name worth stashing in leagues that roster kickers, since a Saints offense that's already banged up at receiver and running back is going to need points from somewhere.

The undisclosed backup quarterback job is a non-story for fantasy purposes unless something happens to Shough, but it's a real story for the Saints' floor as a team. Neither Spencer Rattler nor Zach Wilson looked good in the preseason finale against the Rams, and if Shough misses time, this offense doesn't have a clean answer. That's relevant to the betting market too -- New Orleans' win total was already set low, and a shaky QB2 situation combined with the running back and receiver injuries isn't going to move oddsmakers toward the Saints anytime soon.

Keep an eye on the preseason finale and the roster cuts that follow. Whoever survives at kicker and backup QB will tell you how the Saints are prioritizing stability versus upside, and any further update on Kamara's knee timeline should be the single biggest swing factor for New Orleans fantasy values the rest of the way.

Tyler ShoughAlvin KamaraNew Orleans SaintsTravis EtienneKendre MillerDevin NealDaniel CarlsonJordyn Tyson