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Cubs Buyers Everywhere Except Behind The Plate, Apparently

By Vinnie the Gooch·2 min read
Cubs Buyers Everywhere Except Behind The Plate, Apparently

Chicago's supposed to be stacking up for a run, so why are the Cubs shopping their own catcher before the deadline?

MLB Trade Rumors dropped the report Thursday: the Cubs have discussed catcher Carson Kelly in trade talks ahead of next week's deadline. On the surface that's a weird headline for a team that's supposed to be buying, not selling, with a playoff spot to protect. But dig one layer deeper and it actually makes sense.

MLB Trade Rumors: Cubs Have Discussed Carson Kelly In Trade Talks https://t.co/9wxOQOpPyF https://t.co/ReraZa0N00
via @mlbtraderumors

Kelly, 32, is in year two of the two-year, $11.5 million deal he signed to be Chicago's starter, and he's been solid doing it — hitting.261/.351/.372 with a wRC+ a few ticks above league average. That's not a guy you dump because he's washed. It's a guy you dump because you've got depth behind him, and the Cubs do: Miguel Amaya's a steady backup, and 25-year-old Owen Ayers has been raking his way up from High-A to Triple-A this season, hitting north of.300 with power at every stop.

That depth is exactly why this rumor has legs. Kelly's got a mutual option for 2027 that basically nobody expects either side to exercise, which makes him a pending rental with real, proven big-league value. Flipping him for pitching help — a rotation piece or a bullpen arm, per the report — lets the Cubs stay buyers overall while betting on Ayers to step in behind the plate. It's addition by subtraction if the return is right.

The catching market is also unusually tight right now, which helps Chicago's leverage. The Yankees are specifically hunting a right-handed bat at catcher, and the Red Sox, Rays, Rangers and White Sox have all been floated as suitors. Things got even tighter after Shea Langeliers went down for knee surgery and the Rockies kept their price sky-high on Hunter Goodman, leaving a real supply gap that Kelly could fill.

None of this means Kelly is definitely getting moved — the deadline is days away, and as always, most teams end up doing a little of both buying and selling rather than picking one lane. But if the Cubs can turn a comfortable-but-replaceable catcher into a bullpen arm that actually swings the stretch run, that's a trade worth making, even if it looks strange on paper first.

Carson KellyChicago Cubs