Detroit's market profile is remarkably stable: 10.1 implied wins — tied with Buffalo for 3rd in the league — and 3.9% on the champion board. The engine is no mystery either: Jahmyr Gibbs is the fantasy market's RB1 at 25.5% to lead the position in scoring, the single strongest favorite price at any position except tight end.
New Orleans opens the season as the market's least-believed-in team. The Saints' 0.85% champion price is tied for last in the league, their 1.4% NFC price is 15th of 16, and their implied win total sits at 8.0 — actually respectable, which makes the futures pessimism more interesting: the market sees a floor, just no ceiling whatsoever.
That 8.0 is worth pausing on. It's the same implied total as Washington and higher than Pittsburgh's — the ladder markets think New Orleans wins games. The championship markets think none of those wins lead anywhere. A team priced like that is a scheduled loss on the road at Ford Field, and anything else would be Week 1's quietest upset.
The watchable stakes: Detroit at 6.9% to win the NFC needs home games like this banked early, because its division has 3 other teams priced at 8.7 implied wins or better. In the NFC North, dropping a September home game to an 8-win-profile opponent is how you end up in the wild-card scrum.