The market is blunt about this one: Tennessee carries 6.3 implied wins (28th) and the Jets 5.2 (30th), and both teams trade under 1% on the Super Bowl board. Week 1 games between the board's bottom 5 don't decide championships — they decide draft position, coaching-seat temperature and which fanbase spends October with hope.
For what it's worth, the ladders make Tennessee a legitimate favorite at home: a 1.1-win gap in implied totals is meaningful at this end of the board, where every win changes a season's shape more than it does for a 10-win contender.
The Jets' 5.2 is the number that should worry New York. It's not a rebuilding-year price; it's a bottom-out price — below Cleveland's 5.8, above only Arizona (4.5) and Miami (4.4). The AFC market has the Jets at 1.5%, 15th of 16 teams. Under those numbers, a road win in Nashville would be the first genuine argument against the market's read.
Watch the total-wins ladders Monday morning: teams priced this low move a half-win on a single September result. Nobody's futures prices are more sensitive to Week 1 than these 2.